Wednesday, November 03, 2004
The arithmetic: It ain't over 'til its over.
OHIO
100% of Precincts Reporting
George W. Bush 2,794,346 - 51 percent
John Kerry 2,658,125 - 48 percent
2,794,346 - 2,658,125 = 136,221
175,000 provisional votes * 66% = 115,500 (result: misery)
200,000 provisional * 66& = 165,000 (result, happiness)
So, if the Republican Secretary of State in Ohio is lowballing the number of provisional votes by only 25,000 (and I've seen the numbers as high as 250,000) and Kerry gets 66% of them, which is the rate he's achieved in those precincts, Kerry wins.
Get a grip. Start spinning. It ain't over 'til it's over. And now I AM done for the day.
100% of Precincts Reporting
George W. Bush 2,794,346 - 51 percent
John Kerry 2,658,125 - 48 percent
2,794,346 - 2,658,125 = 136,221
175,000 provisional votes * 66% = 115,500 (result: misery)
200,000 provisional * 66& = 165,000 (result, happiness)
So, if the Republican Secretary of State in Ohio is lowballing the number of provisional votes by only 25,000 (and I've seen the numbers as high as 250,000) and Kerry gets 66% of them, which is the rate he's achieved in those precincts, Kerry wins.
Get a grip. Start spinning. It ain't over 'til it's over. And now I AM done for the day.
